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Financial Post Articles
TOGETHER AGAIN:
Challenges of globalization will top the
agenda of G8 leaders as they meet in Birmingham
John Kirton
Financial Post, Weekly edition,
Saturday, May 9, 1998
The 24th annual summit of the world's seven major industrial
democracies, scheduled for next weekend in Birmingham, England, is
getting a face lift.
The G7 will formally be rebranded the G8, with Russia now included
as a full member. The leaders will meet alone, both with Russia's
ailing President Boris Yeltsin in the G8, and in advance by
themselves for a serious G7 discussion of the Asian financial
crisis, the Japanese and U.S. economies, and financial and political
stability in Ukraine and Russia. G7 finance and foreign ministers
will gather in London this weekend to help prepare the summit and to
dispose of a lengthening array of more routine issues. At
Birmingham, the leaders will address a few pressing political
issues, but will focus, largely in a freewheeling Saturday retreat,
on three core economic challenges: world economic growth in light of
the Asian financial crisis and other developments; employment; and
international crime and drugs.
These changes are more than merely cosmetic. The agenda highlights
how subjects long dealt with domestically have risen to the highest
reaches of international attention. It also points to how
globalization, which has propelled them there, is arousing
widespread anxieties among citizens across the G7. Last year's
summit in Denver, where U.S. President Bill Clinton preached the
triumph of U.S. capitalism and lavished attention on Yeltsin while
the Asian financial crisis was erupting, was a distraction from
these central concerns. Birmingham is bound to do better, if only
because these leaders, all meeting together for their second
encounter, know their hard-won efforts to open the world economy are
now in peril.
Despite soaring prosperity in the U.S. and nonexistent inflation
and joblessness, Congress has denied its president fast-track
authority for further trade liberalization and for the funds the
International Monetary Fund needs to contain the next financial
crisis. Meanwhile, the effort at the Organization for Economic
Co-operation & Development to create a common set of rigorous rules
to regulate investment has just been condemned to indefinite
negotiation, in part because many mistakenly fear that international
agreements and more open capital flows cause unemployment, pollution
and cultural homogenization at home.
The leaders at Birmingham will have to convince their increasingly
insecure publics that governments are genuinely in control of
globalization and can shape it to the benefit of the many without
the means to buy mutual funds or vacation at Club Med. They will
thus collectively vow to keep their markets open, and not look to
the U.S. trade deficit or treasury alone to bear the burden of
restoring growth in Asia and Japan.
They will identify and pledge to adopt the best economic and social
practices to assist those displaced by globalization to reap its
rewards by finding better jobs. They will promise the world's 20
most heavily indebted countries, mostly in Africa, that their
crippling debt burden will be relieved in the foreseeable future,
but only if and as they change their policies to permit their new
prosperity to endure.
They will create G8 SWAT teams that will give transnational
criminal organizations nowhere to hide their members or their
ill-gotten gains, and will respond to infectious diseases as quickly
as the bacteria that cause them cross frontiers.
Above all, the leaders at Birmingham will define the shape of the
international financial architecture that is being constructed in
the wake of the Asian crisis. Building on the reforms of
international financial institutions begun at Halifax in 1995, and
sobered by the US$112 billion already spent to contain the Asian
financial crisis, G8 leaders will call for better financial
supervision, more accurate and open economic data and stricter
surveillance of the policies of all IMF members, developing,
transition and developed alike.
Although there is no enthusiasm to create new international
institutions of a Bretton Woods variety, the leaders will approach
the task in broader terms than their finance ministers, who have
served as the leading architects to date. Leaders have far less
faith in the ability of transparency alone, backed by free markets
and Moody's bond raters, to offer a solution, and a strong sense of
the necessary role that co-ordinated government regulation can play.
To this array of accomplishment, constructed largely by British
Prime Minister Tony Blair and Clinton, who see themselves radiantly
reflected in each other, Canada will make a modest, but meaningful
contribution. Crafted by dedicated officials and executed by a
summit-savvy leader, Canada will seek and probably secure
endorsement for Paul Martin's well-conceived and timely proposal for
a peer review process among supervisors of financial institutions,
centred in a "supervisor of supervisors" who can assure markets
this critical task is being performed well.
Canada will be equally concerned with the social dimensions and
human face of the Asian crisis, bolstering the resolve of all to
avoid the tempting but addictive path of trade protectionism, and
cracking down on trafficking in firearms. It will push, along with
its Commonwealth and francophonie partners Britain and France and an
open-minded U.S., for a far-reaching program for the poorests' debt
relief.
It will join with the U.S. and Japan to see how the G8 can get
major developing countries to make the real reductions in their
greenhouse gas emissions required if the world is to cope with
climate change.
It will also encourage its partners to look ahead and act now to
prevent the real, but poorly recognized, coming crises caused by the
year 2000 computer bug, and unsafe nuclear reactors in Russia.
In doing so, Canada will not only earn its keep at the summit
table. More important, it will help make the G7/G8 a genuine centre
of global governance in a world that requires one, but where
inward-looking U.S., Europe and Japan find it difficult to construct
and operate one on their own.
(Ed. note) John Kirton is an associate professor of
political science and director of the G7 Research Group at the
University of Toronto. His work on the G7 is available at
www.g7.utoronto.ca
Source: This information is provided by the Financial Post.
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Revised: August 17, 1998. |
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